Austria vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
AUT
1 - 4
CRO
37%
27%
35%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
AUT
0 - 2
CAN
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
AUT
2 - 0
NIR
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
ENG
1 - 0
AUT
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2006 |
CRC
1 - 2
POL
23%
22%
56%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2006 |
ECU
3 - 0
CRC
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2006 |
GER
4 - 2
CRC
90%
8%
3%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
CZE
1 - 0
CRC
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
UKR
4 - 0
CRC
43%
27%
30%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |