WC Qual. Europe Grupo J round 10

Armenia vs Germany analysis

Armenia Germany
70 ELO 93
12.4% Tilt 1.6%
1656º General ELO ranking 29º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
4.3%
Armenia
11.8%
Draw
83.9%
Germany

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.3%
Win probability
Armenia
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
83.9%
Win probability
Germany
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
14%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.6%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.6%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Armenia
-14%
+1%
Germany

ELO progression

Armenia
Germany
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Armenia
Armenia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2021
ARM
Armenia
0 - 5
North Macedonia
MKD
47%
25%
28%
71 76 5 0
11 Oct. 2021
ROU
Romania
1 - 0
Armenia
ARM
68%
19%
13%
72 85 13 -1
08 Oct. 2021
ISL
Iceland
1 - 1
Armenia
ARM
59%
22%
19%
71 78 7 +1
08 Sep. 2021
ARM
Armenia
1 - 1
Liechtenstein
LIE
90%
8%
2%
72 31 41 -1
05 Sep. 2021
GER
Germany
6 - 0
Armenia
ARM
92%
6%
2%
72 92 20 0

Matches

Germany
Germany
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2021
GER
Germany
9 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
95%
4%
1%
93 32 61 0
11 Oct. 2021
MKD
North Macedonia
0 - 4
Germany
GER
5%
13%
82%
93 76 17 0
08 Oct. 2021
GER
Germany
2 - 1
Romania
ROU
85%
10%
5%
93 85 8 0
08 Sep. 2021
ISL
Iceland
0 - 4
Germany
GER
4%
12%
85%
92 78 14 +1
05 Sep. 2021
GER
Germany
6 - 0
Armenia
ARM
92%
6%
2%
92 72 20 0