Argentina vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARG
14%
22%
64%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ARG
6 - 0
BOL
84%
12%
5%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
ARG
15%
22%
62%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
31%
26%
42%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 0
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
CHI
44%
26%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 0
PER
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |