Argentina vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
1 - 2
KSA
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
UAE
0 - 5
ARG
7%
18%
75%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
JAM
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
HND
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ARG
5 - 0
EST
92%
7%
2%
|
95 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 2
SWE
52%
24%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
4 - 0
IRQ
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
COL
3 - 2
MEX
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
MEX
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |