World Cup Final

Argentina vs France analysis

Argentina France
95 ELO 94
3.1% Tilt -2.6%
12º General ELO ranking 19º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.9%
Argentina
23.4%
Draw
24.7%
France

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
Argentina
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.8%
Win probability
France
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Argentina
France
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Argentina
Argentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Dec. 2022
ARG
Argentina
3 - 0
Croatia
CRO
68%
18%
13%
95 90 5 0
09 Dec. 2022
NED
Netherlands
2 - 2
Argentina
ARG
44%
24%
32%
95 94 1 0
03 Dec. 2022
ARG
Argentina
2 - 1
Australia
AUS
78%
15%
8%
95 88 7 0
30 Nov. 2022
POL
Poland
0 - 2
Argentina
ARG
17%
22%
62%
95 88 7 0
26 Nov. 2022
ARG
Argentina
2 - 0
Mexico
MEX
70%
18%
12%
95 90 5 0

Matches

France
France
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2022
FRA
France
2 - 0
Morocco
MAR
71%
18%
11%
94 89 5 0
10 Dec. 2022
ENG
England
1 - 2
France
FRA
42%
25%
33%
94 93 1 0
04 Dec. 2022
FRA
France
3 - 1
Poland
POL
71%
17%
12%
94 88 6 0
30 Nov. 2022
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
France
FRA
9%
19%
72%
94 83 11 0
26 Nov. 2022
FRA
France
2 - 1
Denmark
DEN
64%
20%
16%
94 90 4 0