Argentina vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
POR
0 - 0
ARG
45%
24%
32%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1927 |
ARG
5 - 1
PER
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1927 |
ARG
3 - 2
URU
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1927 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1927 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
USA
6 - 2
CAN
70%
17%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1925 |
USA
6 - 1
CAN
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1925 |
CAN
1 - 0
USA
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1924 |
NED
3 - 1
USA
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1924 |
POL
2 - 3
USA
47%
23%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |