Algeria vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
ALG
3 - 2
GUI
60%
21%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1980 |
ALG
1 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
GHA
0 - 0
ALG
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
ALG
1 - 1
TUN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
ALG
0 - 1
POL
17%
23%
60%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
EGY
2 - 1
TAN
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
EGY
2 - 1
CIV
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TUN
4 - 1
EGY
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1977 |
EGY
3 - 2
TUN
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |