Saudi Arabia vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.3%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
9.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
14.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
17%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.3%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.5%
1.2%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saudi Arabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
IDN
1 - 3
KSA
19%
25%
56%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
KSA
2 - 2
SYR
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
TKM
0 - 1
KSA
11%
22%
67%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
KSA
1 - 1
KWT
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2004 |
KSA
1 - 2
IRQ
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
LKA
2 - 2
TKM
12%
19%
70%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
LKA
2 - 2
IDN
14%
19%
68%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
IDN
1 - 0
LKA
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
LKA
0 - 1
KSA
2%
15%
83%
|
45 | 88 | 43 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
TKM
2 - 0
LKA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |