Germany vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1929 |
GER
1 - 1
SCO
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1929 |
ITA
1 - 2
GER
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1929 |
GER
7 - 1
SUI
67%
17%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 0
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1928 |
NOR
0 - 2
GER
43%
22%
35%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 2
DEN
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 1
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
6 - 2
NED
68%
16%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1928 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 0
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |