EC Qualifying Grupo D round 4

Germany vs Gibraltar analysis

Germany Gibraltar
95 ELO 60
23.4% Tilt 32.9%
11775º General ELO ranking 17797º
267º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
97.5%
Germany
2.2%
Draw
0.3%
Gibraltar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
97.1%
Win probability
Germany
4.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1.6%
8-0
3.2%
9-1
0.3%
+8
3.5%
7-0
6.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
6.6%
6-0
10%
7-1
1%
8-2
<0%
+6
11%
5-0
14%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
15.7%
4-0
16.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
18.9%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
2.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
0.8%
2-2
0.1%
3-3
<0%
0
2.2%
0.3%
Win probability
Gibraltar
0.16
Expected goals
0-1
0.2%
1-2
0.1%
-1
0.3%
0-2
0%
-2
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Germany
+1%
-11%
Gibraltar

ELO progression

Germany
Gibraltar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Germany
Germany
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2014
GER
Germany
1 - 1
Ireland
IRL
84%
12%
5%
95 88 7 0
11 Oct. 2014
POL
Poland
2 - 0
Germany
GER
10%
16%
73%
96 87 9 -1
07 Sep. 2014
GER
Germany
2 - 1
Scotland
SCO
87%
10%
4%
96 86 10 0
03 Sep. 2014
GER
Germany
2 - 4
Argentina
ARG
59%
21%
20%
96 95 1 0
13 Jul. 2014
GER
Germany
1 - 0
Argentina
ARG
53%
22%
26%
96 95 1 0

Matches

Gibraltar
Gibraltar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2014
GIB
Gibraltar
0 - 3
Georgia
GEO
31%
25%
45%
61 72 11 0
11 Oct. 2014
IRL
Ireland
7 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
89%
9%
3%
62 88 26 -1
07 Sep. 2014
GIB
Gibraltar
0 - 7
Poland
POL
9%
19%
72%
63 87 24 -1
04 Jun. 2014
GIB
Gibraltar
1 - 0
Malta
MLT
71%
17%
12%
62 49 13 +1
26 May. 2014
EST
Estonia
1 - 1
Gibraltar
GIB
57%
23%
20%
62 69 7 0