West Germany vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
BRD
1 - 1
GRC
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1975 |
AUT
0 - 2
BRD
31%
27%
41%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1975 |
BRD
1 - 1
NLD
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1975 |
ESP
3 - 2
BRD
6%
19%
76%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
BGR
1 - 1
BRD
30%
27%
44%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
BGR
1 - 1
ESP
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 1
BGR
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
TUR
0 - 2
BGR
23%
22%
55%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1975 |
BGR
5 - 0
MLT
84%
10%
5%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
BGR
4 - 0
HUN
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |