Selbitz vs Hollfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
SEL
2 - 0
MEM
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
SEL
1 - 1
AMB
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
GRO
5 - 0
SEL
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
SEL
3 - 1
NEU
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 2
TRO
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hollfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 0
DJJ
30%
24%
47%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MEM
1 - 2
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
HOL
4 - 5
WUR
12%
18%
71%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 4
GRO
13%
19%
68%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
HOL
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |