Selbitz vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AHA
3 - 1
SEL
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 2
AMM
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
NEU
1 - 2
SEL
75%
16%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SEL
0 - 0
JFO
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
HOL
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
AMB
5 - 3
AUB
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
AHA
2 - 0
AUB
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 0
AMM
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |