UP Segureña vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
57.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 1
GAR
23%
21%
56%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
SEG
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SEG
1 - 1
CDS
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZAF
0 - 1
SEG
53%
23%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SEG
1 - 3
EMD
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
USA
1 - 2
SMA
33%
23%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
ZAF
59%
22%
20%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 0
SMA
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
UCL
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 2
SMA
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |