Segesta vs Zadar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HNS
3 - 1
SEG
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SEG
0 - 2
HDR
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
NKR
1 - 0
SEG
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SEG
4 - 1
RUD
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NKD
2 - 1
SEG
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZAD
3 - 0
LUK
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
IMO
4 - 2
ZAD
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
ZAD
1 - 0
HNG
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ZAG
0 - 0
ZAD
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ZAD
0 - 3
HNK
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |