Apertura Nicaragua round 3

Sport Sébaco vs Diriangén analysis

Sport Sébaco Diriangén
57 ELO 68
18.4% Tilt 3.8%
3003º General ELO ranking 1336º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.9%
Sport Sébaco
25.6%
Draw
43.5%
Diriangén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
Sport Sébaco
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.5%
Win probability
Diriangén
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sport Sébaco
-12%
+35%
Diriangén

Points and table prediction

Sport Sébaco
Their league position
Diriangén
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
31
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Diriangén
31
31
100%
Real Estelí
31
31
100%
Matagalpa FC
25
25
100%
Managua
24
24
100%
Walter Ferretti
19
22
89%
Sport Sébaco
17
18
46.5%
ART Jalapa
16
16
35%
UNAN Managua
15
16
35%
Rancho Santana
12
12
100%
CD Ocotal
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sport Sébaco
Diriangén
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
57.5% 0%
Mid-table
42.5% 0%

ELO progression

Sport Sébaco
Diriangén
ART Jalapa
Real Estelí
UNAN Managua
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sport Sébaco
Sport Sébaco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
CDS
Sport Sébaco
4 - 0
CD Ocotal
DEP
59%
21%
20%
56 52 4 0
19 Sep. 2024
EST
Real Estelí
0 - 0
Sport Sébaco
CDS
67%
19%
13%
55 68 13 +1
15 Sep. 2024
CDS
Sport Sébaco
3 - 0
UNAN Managua
UNA
51%
23%
27%
54 54 0 +1
31 Aug. 2024
MFC
Matagalpa FC
1 - 1
Sport Sébaco
CDS
42%
25%
33%
54 56 2 0
25 Aug. 2024
CDS
Sport Sébaco
2 - 1
ART Jalapa
JAP
52%
23%
25%
53 53 0 +1

Matches

Diriangén
Diriangén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
DIR
Diriangén
2 - 3
Rancho Santana
RSA
79%
14%
7%
68 8 60 0
18 Sep. 2024
JAP
ART Jalapa
2 - 2
Diriangén
DIR
17%
25%
59%
68 52 16 0
15 Sep. 2024
DIR
Diriangén
1 - 0
Real Estelí
EST
51%
24%
25%
68 68 0 0
30 Aug. 2024
MAN
Managua
3 - 1
Diriangén
DIR
49%
24%
27%
68 65 3 0
26 Aug. 2024
DIR
Diriangén
2 - 1
Walter Ferretti
WAL
70%
19%
11%
68 58 10 0