SD Formentera vs Felanitx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+88%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
13º
4º
19
4º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 75 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 66 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 63 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 60 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 51 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 49 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 49 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 46 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 38 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 38 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 35 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 35 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 29 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 28 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 27 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
68% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LLO
1 - 0
SDF
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 0
SDF
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
IZA
1 - 0
SDF
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SDF
0 - 1
IZA
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CER
0 - 2
SDF
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Felanitx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLN
1 - 2
PBL
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FLN
5 - 0
IMA
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MER
0 - 0
FLN
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FLN
0 - 3
IBI
11%
22%
68%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLN
0 - 0
CFP
26%
27%
47%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |