Atl. Nacional vs Herrera II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
CDU
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VCD
0 - 1
NAC
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
IDC
1 - 1
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
IDC
1 - 1
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IDC
7 - 0
HFC
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HFC
3 - 5
UFC
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 0
HFC
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 0
CDU
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
HFC
3 - 4
CDU
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |