Scunthorpe United vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SCU
4 - 4
NOR
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
MKD
0 - 2
SCU
51%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SCU
4 - 0
ALF
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 0
SCU
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SCU
1 - 2
LEI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BRO
2 - 0
TRA
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
TRA
1 - 2
POS
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 1
LEE
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
POS
0 - 0
TRA
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 0
SCU
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |