Scunthorpe United vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SCU
6 - 2
HUR
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
SCU
0 - 0
YOR
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
CUM
1 - 4
SCU
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 1
SCU
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
SCU
1 - 3
LIN
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
STE
2 - 0
STF
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
STF
2 - 0
MOR
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
SCA
1 - 1
STF
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
STF
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
STF
2 - 0
HAL
59%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |