Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VIK
2 - 0
SWE
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 1
WER
62%
22%
17%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 1
SWE
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
4 - 0
SWE
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 1
DOR
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 3
SPO
47%
23%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 2
MSV
12%
18%
70%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MSV
2 - 2
SPE
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 1
MSV
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MSV
5 - 0
SCH
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |