Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
STR
1 - 0
SWE
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
SWE
0 - 1
WUP
23%
25%
53%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
DIE
5 - 1
SWE
47%
25%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
SWE
0 - 0
ADL
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MSV
1 - 2
SWE
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
FOR
0 - 3
FCR
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
FCB
2 - 1
FOR
30%
24%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
FOR
2 - 1
EUR
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
GET
1 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 4
BOR
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |