Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
SPE
2 - 2
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 1
HUL
71%
19%
11%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 1
SPR
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
BER
0 - 2
SWE
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 2
SWE
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
M05
4 - 0
AAA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
AAA
1 - 1
MSV
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 1
AAA
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
AAA
2 - 2
SGF
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
RWA
0 - 1
AAA
24%
26%
51%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |