Schermbeck vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
RWA
0 - 0
SCH
58%
22%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SCH
3 - 2
FBI
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SCH
3 - 0
SPS
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ERK
2 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LIP
1 - 1
SCH
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
VER
2 - 1
ERK
73%
17%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BOR
3 - 4
VER
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
VER
5 - 0
LIP
70%
18%
11%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
SVE
1 - 3
VER
24%
24%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GUT
1 - 2
VER
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |