Bundesliga round 8

Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen analysis

Schalke 04 Werder Bremen
86 ELO 84
-14.6% Tilt 13.2%
495º General ELO ranking 159º
30º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Schalke 04
24.9%
Draw
32.7%
Werder Bremen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
Schalke 04
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.7%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Schalke 04
-8%
+12%
Werder Bremen

ELO progression

Schalke 04
Werder Bremen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2018
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
17%
21%
62%
86 71 15 0
03 Oct. 2018
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
0 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
28%
26%
46%
86 83 3 0
29 Sep. 2018
S04
Schalke 04
1 - 0
Mainz 05
M05
54%
24%
22%
86 80 6 0
25 Sep. 2018
SCF
SC Freiburg
1 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
22%
23%
55%
86 79 7 0
22 Sep. 2018
S04
Schalke 04
0 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
8%
15%
77%
86 94 8 0

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2018
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
1 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
9%
16%
75%
84 59 25 0
05 Oct. 2018
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 0
Wolfsburg
WOL
48%
25%
27%
83 83 0 +1
29 Sep. 2018
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
26%
23%
51%
84 79 5 -1
25 Sep. 2018
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
40%
26%
35%
83 84 1 +1
22 Sep. 2018
AUG
FC Augsburg
2 - 3
Werder Bremen
BRE
26%
24%
50%
83 80 3 0