Schalke 04 vs KSV Baunatal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
KOL
3 - 1
S04
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
S04
1 - 0
EIN
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
KAI
2 - 2
S04
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
S04
1 - 2
MSV
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1979 |
HER
0 - 2
S04
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KSV Baunatal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SAO
0 - 2
BAU
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
FRE
3 - 2
BAU
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
BAU
0 - 5
KSC
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
BAU
4 - 0
AUG
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
WAL
1 - 2
BAU
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |