Premier League round 9

SC Villa vs Busoga United analysis

SC Villa Busoga United
39 ELO 31
-18.2% Tilt -26.8%
6846º General ELO ranking 9290º
Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
57.3%
SC Villa
22.2%
Draw
20.5%
Busoga United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
SC Villa
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.5%
Win probability
Busoga United
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Villa
+16%
-21%
Busoga United

ELO progression

SC Villa
Busoga United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Villa
SC Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
MCF
Mbarara City
0 - 0
SC Villa
SCV
35%
27%
38%
38 33 5 0
09 Nov. 2023
SCV
SC Villa
3 - 1
Arua Hill
AHS
48%
26%
26%
38 36 2 0
24 Oct. 2023
SCV
SC Villa
1 - 2
BUL FC
BUL
43%
27%
30%
39 39 0 -1
20 Oct. 2023
VIP
Vipers SC
1 - 1
SC Villa
SCV
57%
24%
19%
39 40 1 0
29 Sep. 2023
SCV
SC Villa
3 - 0
NEC FC
NEC
79%
14%
7%
39 16 23 0

Matches

Busoga United
Busoga United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2023
JIN
Busoga United
2 - 1
KCCA FC
KCC
29%
26%
45%
30 37 7 0
10 Nov. 2023
BRI
Bright Stars FC
3 - 2
Busoga United
JIN
47%
25%
28%
31 35 4 -1
01 Nov. 2023
JIN
Busoga United
0 - 2
UPDF
UPD
44%
25%
31%
32 30 2 -1
24 Oct. 2023
GAD
Gaddafi
0 - 1
Busoga United
JIN
52%
22%
25%
31 34 3 +1
19 Oct. 2023
JIN
Busoga United
0 - 0
Mbarara City
MCF
42%
26%
32%
31 32 1 0