SC Verl II vs Westfalia Rhynern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
46.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
16º
15º
12
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 68 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 67 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 66 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 62 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 60 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 59 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 58 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 57 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 56 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 54 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 52 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 51 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 51 |
13º
|
5.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 45 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 40 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 40 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 32 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 24 |
18º
|
33.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 20 |
19º
|
54% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Verl II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ERK
5 - 0
SCV
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCV
7 - 0
PRE
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +6 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 3
SCV
18%
20%
63%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SCV
4 - 1
SVR
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DSC
0 - 1
SCV
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Westfalia Rhynern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
WER
3 - 0
SCH
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WER
2 - 1
SWE
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ISE
0 - 3
WER
26%
20%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WER
2 - 2
SVE
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 2
WER
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |