SC Verl II vs Victoria Clarholz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+190%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
13º
8º
16
6º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 73 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 72 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 69 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 68 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 63 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 61 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 61 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 57 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 57 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 55 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 49 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 43 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 39 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 38 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 37 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 34 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 32 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 32 |
18º
|
22% | |
|
19º
|
7 | 23 |
19º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Verl II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 2
SCV
33%
22%
46%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 2
RWA
31%
20%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LIP
0 - 2
SCV
77%
13%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SCV
0 - 0
BOC
24%
20%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GIE
3 - 1
SCV
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Victoria Clarholz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TVC
1 - 2
SCH
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CON
0 - 2
TVC
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TVC
0 - 3
SVR
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ENN
3 - 2
TVC
59%
21%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TVC
0 - 2
SPO
14%
21%
66%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |