SC Paderborn U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
5º
4º
17
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 22 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
4º
|
81% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Paderborn U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
SCP
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 2
EIN
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
BOR
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +3 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 4
SCP
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
BOC
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 0
RWE
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WBR
6 - 2
ARM
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 1
ALA
35%
21%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARM
2 - 1
WUP
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |