Mils vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
46.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SCM
3 - 5
IAC
35%
21%
44%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STJ
6 - 1
SCM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 2
SCM
88%
9%
3%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SCH
5 - 3
SCM
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WBO
4 - 2
SCM
46%
21%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
WOR
3 - 0
VOL
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
EBB
3 - 6
WOR
68%
18%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 1
FUG
22%
19%
59%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WOR
2 - 5
KIT
12%
18%
70%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 1
KUN
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |