Humaitá vs Independência analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 1
SCH
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 3
SCH
21%
19%
60%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 1
SCH
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 1
SCH
17%
18%
66%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 2
RIO
24%
21%
54%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 0
IND
48%
23%
30%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
GAL
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 3
ATL
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
PLA
60%
20%
21%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
AND
74%
15%
10%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |