SC Fürstenfeld vs Hartberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
6º
3º
27
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Fürstenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 2
LAF
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
KIN
0 - 1
FUR
14%
17%
70%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 1
FCS
80%
12%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
2 - 1
FUR
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 0
ILZ
61%
19%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 3
TSH
13%
17%
70%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 0
TSH
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TSH
3 - 1
TUS
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TSH
0 - 3
UGA
44%
21%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FEH
0 - 0
TSH
44%
22%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |