Landesliga Estiria round 8

SC Fürstenfeld vs Ilzer SV analysis

SC Fürstenfeld Ilzer SV
35 ELO 34
20.7% Tilt 1.6%
4948º General ELO ranking 40902º
70º Country ELO ranking 619º
ELO win probability
60.5%
SC Fürstenfeld
19%
Draw
20.5%
Ilzer SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
SC Fürstenfeld
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
20.5%
Win probability
Ilzer SV
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Fürstenfeld
+11%
+51%
Ilzer SV

Points and table prediction

SC Fürstenfeld
Their league position
Ilzer SV
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
29
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Union Gamlitz
32
62
61.5%
Ilzer SV
29
56
19%
SC Fürstenfeld
27
54
18%
Kalsdorf
26
53
12%
Allerheiligen
24
51
11%
Hartberg II
27
51
13%
SV Tillmitsch
28
49
13%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
22
46
11%
Köflach
12º
21
44
12%
Fehring
10º
22
43
10º
13%
Lebring
11º
21
42
11º
14.5%
FC Schladming
24
42
12º
15%
Lafnitz II
15º
11
32
13º
50.5%
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
13º
15
26
14º
57.5%
Kindberg-Mürzhofen
14º
11
20
15º
70.5%
Frohnleiten
16º
1
9
16º
93%
Expected probabilities
SC Fürstenfeld
Ilzer SV
Promotion
8.5% 16.5%
Mid-table
91.5% 83.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SC Fürstenfeld
Ilzer SV
Union Gamlitz
Hartberg II
Lebring
TUS Heiligenkreuz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Fürstenfeld
SC Fürstenfeld
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2024
KAL
Kalsdorf
1 - 3
SC Fürstenfeld
FUR
45%
23%
33%
33 33 0 0
06 Sep. 2024
FUR
SC Fürstenfeld
4 - 1
SV Tillmitsch
SVT
61%
18%
21%
32 29 3 +1
30 Aug. 2024
FUR
SC Fürstenfeld
2 - 2
Köflach
KOF
63%
17%
20%
32 28 4 0
23 Aug. 2024
FRO
Frohnleiten
1 - 3
SC Fürstenfeld
FUR
11%
17%
72%
31 15 16 +1
14 Aug. 2024
FUR
SC Fürstenfeld
2 - 1
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
TUS
89%
7%
4%
31 12 19 0

Matches

Ilzer SV
Ilzer SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2024
ILZ
Ilzer SV
7 - 2
Frohnleiten
FRO
86%
10%
4%
34 13 21 0
06 Sep. 2024
TUS
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
0 - 1
Ilzer SV
ILZ
14%
18%
69%
34 11 23 0
30 Aug. 2024
ILZ
Ilzer SV
1 - 3
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
61%
20%
20%
34 27 7 0
23 Aug. 2024
UGA
Union Gamlitz
0 - 0
Ilzer SV
ILZ
38%
23%
39%
34 29 5 0
16 Aug. 2024
ILZ
Ilzer SV
4 - 0
Fehring
FEH
53%
21%
26%
33 29 4 +1