SC Freiburg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
OFC
5 - 0
SCF
66%
19%
14%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
SCF
3 - 1
ROT
42%
21%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
SCF
0 - 2
WWO
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
SCF
1 - 6
SVS
68%
17%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1975 |
KOL
8 - 2
SCF
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
HOM
1 - 2
SVS
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
PFU
0 - 3
HOM
19%
18%
63%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
EIN
3 - 1
HOM
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
HOM
2 - 1
FSV
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
OFC
1 - 1
HOM
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |