Saumur vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
70.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
SAU
2 - 2
PFC
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
NAN
0 - 0
MON
27%
28%
46%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
IST
0 - 1
NAN
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
NAN
0 - 0
ASS
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
TFC
2 - 1
NAN
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
NAN
2 - 0
REN
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |