National 3 Grupo D round 6

Sarreguemines vs Metz II analysis

Sarreguemines Metz II
33 ELO 32
2.1% Tilt -0.4%
6355º General ELO ranking 4950º
261º Country ELO ranking 151º
ELO win probability
44.9%
Sarreguemines
21.4%
Draw
33.8%
Metz II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
Sarreguemines
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.8%
Win probability
Metz II
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sarreguemines
+69%
-27%
Metz II

ELO progression

Sarreguemines
Metz II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sarreguemines
Sarreguemines
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2016
PAG
Pagny Sur Moselle
0 - 0
Sarreguemines
SAR
31%
22%
47%
33 26 7 0
17 Sep. 2016
SAR
Sarreguemines
1 - 1
Sarre-Union
SAR
21%
22%
57%
32 44 12 +1
03 Sep. 2016
ILL
Illzach Modenheim
3 - 1
Sarreguemines
SAR
35%
22%
43%
34 27 7 -2
27 Aug. 2016
SAR
Sarreguemines
3 - 2
Forbach
FOR
51%
21%
28%
33 32 1 +1
20 Aug. 2016
STR
Strasbourg II
0 - 1
Sarreguemines
SAR
52%
22%
27%
32 34 2 +1

Matches

Metz II
Metz II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2016
SAR
Sarre-Union
3 - 3
Metz II
MET
66%
20%
14%
33 43 10 0
17 Sep. 2016
MET
Metz II
1 - 0
Forbach
FOR
52%
22%
25%
32 32 0 +1
03 Sep. 2016
FCS
FCSR Haguenau
1 - 1
Metz II
MET
39%
25%
36%
32 30 2 0
28 Aug. 2016
MET
Metz II
3 - 3
Lunéville
LUN
47%
22%
31%
32 34 2 0
20 Aug. 2016
BIE
Biesheim
2 - 0
Metz II
MET
30%
22%
48%
34 27 7 -2