Sarreguemines vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 1
SAR
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BIE
2 - 3
SAR
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
PON
4 - 0
SAR
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
COL
2 - 3
SAR
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
4 - 3
NAN
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ILL
1 - 1
SAI
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ILL
0 - 2
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 0
ILL
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
THA
1 - 1
ILL
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 1
AMN
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +4 |