Sarre-Union vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 2
SAR
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
MOU
22%
27%
51%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +6 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JUR
0 - 0
SAR
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
SOC
31%
26%
44%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
UJA
2 - 2
SAR
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 3
YZE
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCM
0 - 0
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
RAO
3 - 0
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 3
AUX
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
STR
4 - 0
VIL
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |