Sarre-Union vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
78%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
AUX
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
MOA
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
NIO
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 3
DRA
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAR
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
MPL
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
PSG
3 - 1
LOR
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
REI
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
LOR
46%
25%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
USB
1 - 3
LOR
17%
21%
62%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |