Sarpsborg 08 II vs Nordstrand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
56.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
10º
13º
11º
46
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
OPP
36%
21%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SIK
2 - 0
SAR
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
SKA
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MJO
4 - 1
SAR
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 0
TRO
41%
20%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nordstrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 2
FLO
61%
19%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SKE
1 - 1
NOR
23%
20%
58%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 4
TRO
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SIK
1 - 0
NOR
18%
19%
64%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
MJO
65%
19%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |