Sarm. Resistencia vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
6º
7º
41
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
SAR
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
BUC
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
JAN
57%
26%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 2
SAR
21%
27%
52%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
GYT
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
9DJ
3 - 1
CEN
17%
27%
57%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
9DJ
1 - 1
SOL
31%
28%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 0
9DJ
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
9DJ
0 - 1
JAN
27%
28%
45%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 1
9DJ
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |