Sarmiento II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 0
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
TIG
1 - 0
SAR
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
BAN
4 - 2
SAR
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
DYJ
37%
25%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 1
SAR
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 1
PLA
37%
26%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
GOC
1 - 0
DYJ
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 1
CAU
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
DYJ
37%
25%
39%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DYJ
3 - 0
GOC
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |