Sarajevo vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
10º
4º
59
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZRI
4 - 3
SAR
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
BBL
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ZEL
0 - 0
SAR
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 2
IGM
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 5
SAR
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
SLO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZBE
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 0
VEL
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
BBL
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
ZEL
0 - 1
VEL
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |