Sarajevo vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
3º
3º
21
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 48 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 46 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 30 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 29 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 29 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 27 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 19 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 11 |
11º
|
75% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 7 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
82% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 61% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 39% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
GOS
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
SAR
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
SLO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TNV
3 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 0
POS
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 1
POS
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
POS
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 0
IGM
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |