Sarajevo vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
2º
1º
11
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 42 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 30 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
32% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
45.5% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
GOS
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
SAR
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
SLO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TNV
3 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 0
POS
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 1
POS
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
POS
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 0
IGM
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |