Paulista A1 round 4

São Paulo vs Santo André analysis

São Paulo Santo André
88 ELO 72
-10.8% Tilt -4.6%
94º General ELO ranking 2642º
12º Country ELO ranking 84º
ELO win probability
66.9%
São Paulo
20.9%
Draw
12.3%
Santo André

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
São Paulo
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.3%
Win probability
Santo André
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Paulo
+6%
-11%
Santo André

ELO progression

São Paulo
Santo André
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Paulo
São Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2009
GUA
Guaraní
0 - 2
São Paulo
SAO
12%
22%
66%
88 51 37 0
25 Jan. 2009
POR
Portuguesa
0 - 2
São Paulo
SAO
24%
27%
49%
88 71 17 0
21 Jan. 2009
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 1
Ituano
ITU
78%
15%
6%
88 54 34 0
07 Dec. 2008
GOI
Goiás EC
0 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
34%
26%
40%
88 80 8 0
30 Nov. 2008
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
55%
24%
21%
88 83 5 0

Matches

Santo André
Santo André
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2009
SAN
Santo André
1 - 0
Ponte Preta
PPE
50%
25%
25%
71 70 1 0
24 Jan. 2009
SAO
São Caetano
1 - 0
Santo André
SAN
44%
25%
31%
71 70 1 0
21 Jan. 2009
SAN
Santo André
0 - 1
Palmeiras
PAL
31%
26%
43%
71 82 11 0
28 Nov. 2008
SAN
Santo André
3 - 1
Paraná
PAR
52%
25%
23%
71 68 3 0
22 Nov. 2008
CRI
Criciúma
4 - 4
Santo André
SAN
39%
27%
35%
71 63 8 0