Paulista A1 Final
Global 3-5
São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
COR
56%
25%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAO
77%
17%
7%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
BOT
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAN
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MIR
0 - 3
SAO
19%
25%
57%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
ITU
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
COR
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
77%
16%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |