São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
3 - 0
VAS
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
SAO
19%
25%
56%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAL
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
GRE
49%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 4
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
FFL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |