São Paulo vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 4
SAO
31%
26%
44%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
SCI
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 0
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 0
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
5 - 2
BOT
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
COT
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 2
FLA
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ATM
6 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |