Série D Brazil round 6

São Mateus vs Villa Nova analysis

São Mateus Villa Nova
45 ELO 52
-2.6% Tilt -1.2%
26109º General ELO ranking 4325º
725º Country ELO ranking 143º
ELO win probability
36.1%
São Mateus
26.9%
Draw
37%
Villa Nova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
São Mateus
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37%
Win probability
Villa Nova
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

São Mateus
Villa Nova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Mateus
São Mateus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2011
VIL
Villa Nova
4 - 1
São Mateus
SAO
61%
22%
17%
46 51 5 0
30 Jul. 2011
SAO
São Mateus
1 - 4
Sendas EC
SEC
61%
22%
17%
48 42 6 -2
24 Jul. 2011
FOR
Formosa
1 - 0
São Mateus
SAO
37%
26%
37%
49 44 5 -1
16 Jul. 2011
SAO
São Mateus
0 - 0
Volta Redonda
VOL
49%
25%
25%
50 50 0 -1
29 May. 2011
LIN
Linhares
0 - 2
São Mateus
SAO
47%
25%
28%
49 52 3 +1

Matches

Villa Nova
Villa Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2011
SEC
Sendas EC
1 - 2
Villa Nova
VIL
32%
26%
42%
52 43 9 0
06 Aug. 2011
VIL
Villa Nova
4 - 1
São Mateus
SAO
61%
22%
17%
51 46 5 +1
30 Jul. 2011
VIL
Villa Nova
1 - 0
Formosa
FOR
66%
19%
15%
51 45 6 0
23 Jul. 2011
VOL
Volta Redonda
0 - 1
Villa Nova
VIL
44%
27%
29%
51 49 2 0
17 Apr. 2011
VIL
Villa Nova
2 - 2
América Mineiro
AMF
28%
26%
47%
52 68 16 -1